A predictive model for acute kidney injury in patients with septic and septic shock

  • Lê Xuân Dương Bệnh viện Trung ương Quân đội 108
  • Nguyễn Nhật Đức Bệnh viện Trung ương Quân đội 108
  • Nguyễn Thái Cường Bệnh viện Trung ương Quân đội 108
  • Nguyễn Hải Ghi Bệnh viện Trung ương Quân đội 108
  • Ngô Chí Công Bệnh viện Trung ương Quân đội 108
  • Lê Đức Duẩn Bệnh viện Trung ương Quân đội 108
  • Nguyễn Anh Sơn Bệnh viện Trung ương Quân đội 108
  • Lê Đức Giang Bệnh viện Trung ương Quân đội 108
  • Thái Đàm Dũng Bệnh viện Trung ương Quân đội 108
  • Đỗ Thanh Hòa Bệnh viện Trung ương Quân đội 108

Main Article Content

Keywords

Sepsis, septic shock, Acute kidney injury, XGBoost

Abstract

Objective: This study aimed to establish and validate predictive models based on novel machine learning (ML) algorithms for acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with sepsis and septic shock.  Subject and method: A prospective descriptive study combined with retrospective analysis was conducted on 530 patients with sepsis or septic shock treated at 108 Military Central Hospital from 01/2020 to 01/2024 to develop a machine learning model for predicting acute kidney injury. Result: The machine learning model was built based on 8 factors: Age, gender, portal entry of infection, blood pH, HCO3-, lactate, urea, and creatinine. For predicting acute kidney injury, the model achieved a sensitivity of 82.4%, specificity of 74.4%, and AUC value = 0.84 (0.757 - 0.923). Conclusion: The machine learning-based model for predicting AKI demonstrated a good value in early prognosis of acute kidney injury in patients with sepsis and septic shock.

Article Details

References

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